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XH

Xerox Holdings Corp (XRX)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Revenue of $1.58B was roughly flat year over year and modestly above Street; adjusted EPS of $(0.64) missed consensus amid tariff-related costs, higher interest expense, and an unusually high adjusted tax rate . Revenue beat vs consensus; EPS and EBITDA missed (see Estimates Context).*
  • FY25 guidance was reset post-Lexmark: revenue growth raised to 16–17% CC, adjusted operating margin trimmed to ~4.5% (from ≥5.0%), and free cash flow lowered to ~$250M, reflecting $30–$35M tariff headwinds and $50–$75M synergy implementation costs .
  • Strategic catalysts: Lexmark integration (synergies now “more than $250M”), re-entry into cut-sheet inkjet via Kyocera, and focus on debt paydown; dividend reduced to $0.025, underscoring deleveraging priorities .
  • June demand recovered after April–May softness driven by tariff uncertainty; IT Solutions strength (cloud enablement/cross-sell) stabilized revenue mix .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • IT Solutions strength and cross-sell momentum stabilized revenue; “Growth in IT and Digital Solutions helped deliver stable revenue” and “strong demand for cloud-enablement services” offset print softness .
  • Lexmark integration plan advanced; cost synergies raised to “more than $250M” within two years; management expects improved competitive position, A4 exposure, APAC distribution lift, and managed print optimization .
  • Re-entry into fast-growing cut-sheet inkjet via Kyocera partnership broadens production portfolio and enhances ecosystem-led differentiation .

What Went Wrong

  • Tariffs pressured margins and demand; Q2 included ~$22M interest/financing charges tied to acquisition funding and $28M non-deductible tax expense, and CFO cited adjusted tax rate of 528% for Q2 .
  • Print equipment demand softened in April–May; total equipment installations fell ~12% YoY; gross margin contracted 440 bps YoY; adjusted operating margin fell 170 bps YoY .
  • Free cash flow was a use of $(30)M in Q2, partly due to delayed sale of ~$100M European finance receivables; FCF guidance cut given higher cash tariff outlays and synergy implementation costs .

Financial Results

Quarterly Summary vs Prior Periods

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Billions)$1.613 $1.457 $1.576
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$(0.20) $(0.75) $(0.87)
Adjusted EPS ($)$0.36 $(0.06) $(0.64)
Adjusted Operating Margin (%)6.4% 1.5% 3.7%

Segment Breakdown (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024)

SegmentRevenue Q2 2025 ($USD Millions)Revenue Q2 2024 ($USD Millions)Segment Profit Q2 2025 ($USD Millions)Segment Profit Q2 2024 ($USD Millions)
Print and Other$1,366 $1,494 $65 $107
IT Solutions$213 $84 $10 $1
Corporate Other$(16) $(23)
Total$1,576 $1,578 $59 $85

KPIs and Margin Drivers

KPIQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Equipment Sales ($USD Millions)$393 $284 $336
Post-sale Revenue ($USD Millions)$1,220 $1,173 $1,240
Total Gross Margin (%)31.1% 29.2% 28.6%
Operating Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$351 $(89) $(11)
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$334 $(109) $(30)

Notable non-GAAP adjustments in Q2: inventory-related impacts (exit of production print manufacturing), restructuring, amortization of intangibles, transaction-related costs, commitment fees, loss on early extinguishment of debt, and Lexmark escrow interest .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Q1 2025)Current Guidance (Q2 2025)Change
Revenue Growth (Constant Currency)FY 2025Low single-digit growth 16–17% growth Raised
Adjusted Operating Margin (%)FY 2025≥5.0% ~4.5% Lowered
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)FY 2025$350–$400 ~$250 Lowered
Tariff expenses (net, P&L)FY 2025~$50M scenario-based (May 1 tariffs) $30–$35M net Clarified/lowered vs prior scenario
Cash tariff outlays ($USD Millions)FY 2025Not specified$60–$65 New detail
Synergy implementation cash ($USD Millions)FY 2025Not specified$50–$75 New detail

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024, Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
Reinvention & cost savingsDouble-digit OpEx reductions; simplified model; ITsavvy integration started Continued OpEx discipline; adjusted OI $59M; June demand recovery; AOI $4M below low-end guidance Improving execution; cost savings ongoing
Lexmark integration & synergiesAnnounced intent; expected accretion; regulatory progress Synergies increased to >$250M; APAC distribution; A4 exposure; managed print optimization Positive; scope widened
Tariffs & pricingScenario-based ~$50M Op income impact; mitigation plan $30–$35M net P&L; $60–$65M cash; price increases implemented; April–May softness Headwind in H2; mitigation ramping
IT Solutions momentumITsavvy acquisition and backlog growth Strong cloud enablement demand; cross-sell pipeline >$50M; low single-digit penetration of print clients Accelerating
Production print strategyExit certain high-end manufacturing; portfolio simplification Kyocera CSIJ partnership to re-enter growth segment; ecosystem-led offering Strategic repositioning
Capital allocation & leverageDeleveraging focus; FCF generation in Q4 Debt reduction priority; pro forma leverage reduced; dividend cut to $0.025 Deleveraging continues

Management Commentary

  • “Growth in IT and Digital Solutions helped deliver stable revenue, and a focus on costs preserved profitability amid a volatile operating landscape” — Steve Bandrowczak, CEO .
  • “We now expect cost synergies associated with the Lexmark acquisition to total more than $250 million… realizable within the next two years” — John Bruno, President & COO .
  • “Adjusted operating margin of 3.7% was 170 basis points lower year-over-year… nearly 100 bps of the decline reflected tariff charges… and adverse currency impacts” — Mirlanda Gecaj, CFO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Demand dynamics: April–May softness driven by tariff uncertainty and funding “pause”; June recovered; no pipeline cancellations — CEO .
  • Pricing actions: Implemented price increases to offset tariffs; contractual price increases faced pushback; recovery expected to take into 2026 — COO .
  • IT Solutions penetration: Sub-5% penetration of legacy print client base; >$50M pipeline; significant cross-sell runway — COO .
  • Lexmark 2026 outlook: Revenue relatively flat vs market decline; ~80% annuity base; A4 strength — CFO .
  • Margin guidance drivers: Tariff costs and timing of reinvention initiatives lowered FY25 adjusted operating margin to ~4.5% — CFO .

Estimates Context

Metric (Q2 2025)Consensus EstimateActualSurprise
Revenue ($USD Billions)$1.546*$1.576 Beat
Primary EPS (Adjusted) ($)$0.07*$(0.64) Miss
EBITDA ($USD Millions)$105*$72*Miss

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Implications: Expect downward revisions to EPS/EBITDA, while revenue resilience and post-Lexmark guidance reset may temper top-line concerns.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Revenue beat with adjusted EPS miss reflects tariffs, higher interest expense, and tax rate anomalies; margin compression (adj GM −420 bps YoY, adj OI margin 3.7%) warrants caution near term .
  • Guidance reset raises FY25 growth via Lexmark while prudently lowering margins/FCF; monitor execution of >$250M synergies and tariff mitigation to re-expand margins .
  • IT Solutions strength and cross-sell runway (sub-5% penetration, >$50M pipeline) provide a structural mix shift tailwind to stabilize revenue .
  • Production print strategy pivot (Kyocera CSIJ) targets higher-growth segments, supporting long-term competitiveness and ecosystem-led differentiation .
  • Balance sheet strategy: debt paydown prioritized; pro forma leverage reduced; dividend cut signals focus on deleveraging and investment in integration .
  • Near-term trading: watch tariff policy updates and price pass-through pace; Q3 FCF expected to benefit from finance receivables sales timing, with seasonally strongest Q4 .
  • Medium-term thesis: reinvention plus Lexmark integration can drive revenue stabilization and margin recovery into 2026 as tariff impacts recede and synergies ramp .

Citations: Press release/8-K and call transcript data throughout: